In uplifting news https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/#WA:0,OR:0,CA:0,AZ:0,NM:0,CO:0,TX:1,FL:1,MN:0,WI:0,IL:0,N2:0,NH:0,OH:1,IN:1,UT:1,WY:1,ID:1,MT:1,ND:1,SD:1,NE:1,KS:1,OK:1,LA:1,AR:1,MO:1,IA:1,MS:1,AL:1,TN:1,KY:1,WV:1,SC:1,VA:0,MD:0,NJ:0,NY:0,CT:0,RI:0,MA:0,VT:0,ME:0,M1:0,N3:1,N1:1,AK:1,HI:0,DE:0
UPDATED Nov. 3, 2020, at 12:15 AM 2020 election forecast How our forecast works By Ryan Best , Jay Boice , Aaron Bycoffe and Nate Silver Our 2020 presidential forecast is final and no longer updating. You can keep making selections here to see how the results you pick would change our pre-election forecast. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in! Key States All States Reset Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1.5% chance of winning that state. Winner picked more likely trump toss-up more likely biden When you choose the winner in one place, our model updates its projections everywhere else. 10 in 100 chance of winning 189.5 average electoral votes 89 in 100 chance of winning 348.5 average electoral votes Each dot is one possible election outcome. Copy link to your choices Link copied to clipboard How this works: We start with the 40,000 simula...